Pierce Atwood’s John Gulliver and Julia Weller recently participated in the World Energy Regulatory Forum IV in Athens, Greece. WFER, as it is known, was created about a
decade ago to provide a triennial platform for energy regulators from around
the world, regulated energy companies, unregulated energy companies, policy
makers, ministers and cabinet members, and other participants in the energy
sector including investors, consultants, and customers, to gather and discuss
topics of mutual interest. This event
was hosted by the Greek energy regulator, RAE. Over 1,000 delegates from literally every
continent attended. The importance of
independent, principled, non-politicized, cost-based regulation designed to
create a favorable investment climate, appropriate consumer protections, and
long-term economic and environmental benefits, has gained considerable
acknowledgment and support over the 15 years as economies have moved from
state-control to private investment, market-driven, competitive economies. One of the important aspects of the World
Forum is that regulators in emerging markets who are new to the job can gain
insights from regulators such as those in the U.S., U.K., Australia or Europe
who have decades of experience in balancing these important, complex and
competing interests.
John chaired a panel
of international regulators on Efficiency of CO2 Emission Reduction
Mechanisms. (In the photo above, he's second from the right.) Julia participated in a
separate panel on Regulatory Benchmarking. Both found it to be an extremely rewarding,
engaging, and challenging professional experience. The planning for WFER IV took almost three
years, and John had the opportunity to sit on the Program Planning Committee. During the three years, of course, the world
economy went from boom to bust, so the program was continually reoriented to
address current pressing needs.
Three days of meetings are impossible to summarize in one
blog entry, but John offers some general takeaways:
- We all
share more problems than we think.
Volatile and high energy costs, security of supply, environmental
concerns and fundamental fairness are global issues.
- The
global appetite for energy, particularly electricity and transport fuels
will be significant. We are already
seeing signs of renewed consumption levels coming out of the current
economic crisis, especially in China,
India, Brazil and
other emerging powerhouses.
Recovery of oil from appropriately $35 a barrel to approximately
$80 a barrel within a four month span is indicative of this trend.
- Everyone
talks sincerely about renewables, but when it comes down to the brass
tacks of pricing, it’s difficult not to shy away. Photovoltaics at 25¢ a kilowatt hour are
simply unaffordable for just about everyone. Wind at 10¢ a kilowatt hour is hard for
most people even in rich countries, if deployed on a widespread
basis. These prices are simply the
generation price, and do not include transmission, distribution and other
costs, which can add another 8-10¢ a kilowatt hour. Feed-in tariffs have stimulated
investment in renewables, but have also pushed average electricity prices
to very high levels in some countries.
(For more on feed-in tariff developments in New
England, see our previous post.)
- Global
warming and greenhouse gas emissions are a huge concern. Many experts think that the ultimate
solution will come not just from switching from coal or other carbon
emitting generation sources to clean sources (simply because more and more
coal plants will be built in China and India that will outstrip any gains
made elsewhere in terms of coal reduction), but instead will be driven by
increased efficiency in consumption, retrofitting of existing buildings,
and transport fuel change.
- Extension
of basic utility services including electricity, water, gas and telephone,
at affordable rates to people who are currently not connected to these
services remains a significant priority in much of the world.
- There
are numerous opportunities for U.S. companies to participate
in global energy investment and business development. The forecasted demand, even in light of
the current global recession, is enormous.
Billions and billions of dollars will need to be invested in new
generation, new transmission, distribution, and new technology. U.S. companies have a
competitive advantage due to their technical know-how, flexibility, and
competitive dollar valuations.
The next World Energy Regulatory Forum – WFER V - will be in 2012 in the City of Quebec, Canada, and is sure to be as
informative and thought-provoking as WFER IV proved to be. Best of all for those of us in New England, it will be easy to attend and participate. For more information about WFERs past and
future, please contact John Gulliver
or Julia Weller.